MICHIGAN 42–27 OHIO STATE
Nov 27 · Ann ArborGAME FACTS
ARCHIVED RESULT- Date
- Nov 27
- Location
- Ann Arbor
- Michigan rank
- NO. 5
- Ohio State rank
- NO. 2
DROUGHT CONTEXT
OBSERVED · PUBLIC GAME RESULTS- Michigan ended a wait of
- 3,654 DAYS · 9 MEETINGS · SINCE 2011
- Ohio State had gone
- 728 DAYS SINCE THEIR PRIOR WIN
SEASON LINES
PUBLIC SNAPSHOT| Metric | MICHIGAN | OHIO STATE |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-2 | 11-2 |
| Points for · against | 501 · 243 | 594 · 296 |
| Scoring margin | +18.4 / GAME | +22.9 / GAME |
| Conference | Big Ten · East | Big Ten · East |
| Coach | Jim Harbaugh | Ryan Day |
| Final AP rank | NO. 3 | NO. 6 |
| Scoring offense | 35.8 PPG | 45.7 PPG |
| Scoring defense | 17.4 ALLOWED/G | 22.8 ALLOWED/G |
| SRS overall | NO. 4 OF 452 | NO. 2 OF 452 |
| SRS offense | NO. 5 OF 452 | NO. 1 OF 452 |
| SRS defense | NO. 5 OF 452 | NO. 23 OF 452 |
| Schedule strength | NO. 2 OF 452 | NO. 12 OF 452 |
| Metric | MICHIGAN | OHIO STATE |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per play | 6.39 | 7.96 |
| Rush share | 48.4% | 32.1% |
| Third-down rate | 45.8% | 52.3% |
| First downs | 21.8 / GAME | 26.8 / GAME |
| Turnovers | 1.00 / GAME | 0.85 / GAME |
| Red zone | 6.0 TRIPS/G · 92.9% SCORED | 7.0 TRIPS/G · 93.4% SCORED |
| Possession | 31:22 / GAME | 29:22 / GAME |
Season totals and ranks come from the public Rivalry Lab snapshot. Ranks are national, across every team the model rated that year.
WHAT THE MODEL SAW COMING
HELD-OUT RUNMICHIGAN 27.4 · OHIO STATE 28.6
- Win probability
- Michigan 47.9% · Ohio State 52.1%
- Called
- WRONG WINNER
This meeting was held out of the fit that produced these numbers, so the expected scores are a forecast rather than a line drawn through a result the model had already seen. Model version srs-era-neutral-v1.